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My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Takes

Mark Zuckerberg would easily defeat Elon Musk in a cage match, likely within 2 minutes by submission.

Spiciness
prediction

The Reasoning

Physical conditioning trumps size advantages in martial arts. Zuckerberg trains in jujitsu and MMA, is 12 years younger, and significantly fitter. Musk doesn't exercise and is overweight at 51.

What Needs to Be True

  • The fight actually happens
  • Both men fight without extensive training camps
  • Standard MMA/jujitsu rules apply
  • No significant injuries occur before the fight

Counterargument

Musk's 50+ pound weight advantage could matter if he can avoid submissions and use his size. Age and experience might provide mental toughness.

What Would Change This View

Musk undergoes serious training camp and loses significant weight, or if fight becomes more boxing-focused rather than grappling

Implications for Builders

Preparation and consistency beat natural advantages

Don't underestimate younger, more dedicated competitors

Physical and mental fitness provide compound advantages across domains

Example Application

In business competition, a smaller company with better execution and preparation can defeat larger, lazier incumbents through superior tactics and dedication.