Knowledge Marketplace
My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Takes

Twitter will produce its first billion-dollar companies built primarily through Twitter audience development, similar to what Instagram and YouTube have already achieved.

Spiciness
platform_prediction

The Reasoning

Twitter's B2B-focused, text-based, high-value audience creates better conditions for expensive product sales than other platforms, but hasn't yet reached critical mass for breakout successes.

What Needs to Be True

  • Twitter audience quality continues to outweigh size limitations
  • More entrepreneurs learn to leverage Twitter for business building
  • Twitter maintains its B2B professional focus
  • Success stories like Shepherd inspire more attempts

Counterargument

Twitter's smaller audience size and engagement limitations may prevent it from ever matching Instagram/YouTube scale successes.

What Would Change This View

If Twitter's audience continues shrinking or shifts away from business/professional focus, or if other platforms develop better B2B creator tools.

Implications for Builders

Focus on building deep trust with Twitter audience rather than just follower count

Look for high-value product opportunities that match Twitter's professional demographic

Prepare for Twitter-native business models to become more mainstream

Example Application

An entrepreneur building a $10K/month B2B software tool could leverage Twitter to reach decision-makers directly, whereas Instagram might only work for consumer products under $100.