Knowledge Marketplace
My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Takes

Twitter will produce its first billion-dollar business built natively on the platform within the next 5 years

Spiciness
prediction

The Reasoning

Twitter has business audience concentration and high conversion rates but lacks native famous creators, creating first-mover advantage for sophisticated business builders

What Needs to Be True

  • Twitter maintains business audience concentration
  • Platform remains stable and creator-friendly
  • Someone builds sustainable business model beyond just content
  • Business audience willing to pay premium prices for Twitter-sourced products

Counterargument

Twitter's small user base and text-only format may inherently limit scale compared to visual/video platforms

What Would Change This View

Twitter user growth stagnating completely, major business audience migration to other platforms, platform policy changes hostile to creators

Implications for Builders

Focus on business/professional content on Twitter now

Build email lists from Twitter audience for platform independence

Develop high-value products that justify premium pricing

Study what worked on other platforms but adapt for Twitter's format

Example Application

Business educator builds 500K Twitter following, launches $10K business consulting program, converts at 2% rate generating $100M annually from Twitter-sourced leads.