My First Million
The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.
There will be mass unemployment in tech and knowledge work within 2 years, with entire job categories like BDRs disappearing completely
The Reasoning
AI can already perform many knowledge work tasks better than humans, and companies will eliminate roles once they realize the AI alternative is superior and cheaper
What Needs to Be True
- AI capabilities continue improving rapidly
- Companies overcome inertia and actually lay off workers
- AI tools become more reliable and trustworthy
- Regulatory environment doesn't prevent AI adoption
Counterargument
Job displacement will be gradual with new types of jobs created, similar to previous technological revolutions
What Would Change This View
Evidence that AI capabilities plateau, or that new job categories emerge faster than old ones disappear
Implications for Builders
Build AI tools that replace entire job functions
Focus on industries most susceptible to AI replacement
Consider social and political implications of job displacement
Plan for potential regulatory backlash
Example Application
“A consulting firm realizes its junior analysts can be completely replaced by AI trained on their methodologies and client data, leading to massive layoffs”