Knowledge Marketplace
My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Takes

Manual childbirth will be seen as barbaric and unnecessary in 50 years when artificial incubation technology becomes available

Spiciness
future_prediction

The Reasoning

Pattern matching to how epidurals became mainstream - when pain/risk can be avoided with technology, most people choose the easier option

What Needs to Be True

  • Artificial womb technology becomes safe and affordable
  • Social acceptance of non-natural birth methods
  • No significant bonding or health advantages to natural birth

Counterargument

Maternal bonding and natural hormonal processes during pregnancy/birth may be irreplaceable for child development

What Would Change This View

Evidence that pregnancy/birth hormones are critical for maternal bonding or child development

Implications for Builders

Invest in reproductive technology companies

Consider regulatory and social acceptance challenges

Build gradually from fertility assistance to full artificial gestation

Example Application

Develop artificial womb technology starting with premature baby care, gradually extending to full gestation as technology and social acceptance improve.