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My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Takes

Bitcoin will continue to appreciate because its success is self-reinforcing - the more successful it gets, the more successful it becomes

Spiciness
prediction

The Reasoning

Network effects and social proof drive adoption, creating virtuous cycle of increasing value and legitimacy

What Needs to Be True

  • Continued institutional acceptance
  • Regulatory clarity rather than prohibition
  • Store of value narrative maintains credibility
  • No major technical failures or security breaches

Counterargument

Bitcoin has limited utility beyond speculation and could lose value to more functional cryptocurrencies or regulatory crackdown

What Would Change This View

Major governments banning Bitcoin, better store of value alternatives emerging, or technical failures undermining trust

Implications for Builders

Bitcoin infrastructure and services will continue growing

Traditional finance will further integrate Bitcoin

Regulatory compliance becomes increasingly important

Focus on store of value rather than payments use case

Example Application

Major corporations adding Bitcoin to treasury reserves creates precedent for others, driving further adoption and price increases