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My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

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when I See Fire I run towards it
investingcontrarianopportunity

What It Means

Experienced investors should move toward crisis situations rather than away from them, as crises create opportunities

Why It Matters

Contrarian behavior during crisis is often the highest-return investment strategy for sophisticated players

When It's True

When you have experience analyzing distressed situations, when you have available capital, when crisis is creating temporary mispricings

When It's Risky

When you lack expertise in distressed analysis, when crisis reflects fundamental rather than temporary problems

How to Apply

1

Build expertise in crisis analysis before crises hit

2

Maintain capital reserves for opportunistic deployment

3

Develop quick decision-making processes for time-sensitive opportunities

4

Focus on situations where your analytical edge is highest

Example Scenario

During banking crisis, quickly analyze fundamentally sound banks trading at distressed prices while other investors flee the entire sector