Knowledge Marketplace
My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Mental Models

Go to the Tapes for Successes

When something works exceptionally well, analyze it as thoroughly as you would analyze failures to understand exactly what made it successful and how to replicate it.

Decision Rule

Every time you have an unexpectedly positive outcome, immediately document what happened, why it worked, and how to systematically reproduce it.

How It Works

Most people only analyze failures but ignore successes, missing opportunities to understand and scale what works. Systematic success analysis puts intention to intuition.

Failure Modes

Assuming good outcomes were just luck

Moving on quickly without analysis when things work

Focusing only on failure analysis

Not documenting successful processes for replication

Example Decision

After hot dog gesture created incredible customer reaction, analyze exactly what elements made it work: being present enough to overhear, willingness to be silly, gesture specific to individual, element of surprise.