Knowledge Marketplace
My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Mental Models

Pre-Fall vs Post-Fall Assessment

People are either pre-fall (haven't been truly humbled by life) or post-fall (have experienced deep adversity that fundamentally changed them)

Decision Rule

When evaluating partners or employees, assess whether they've been through genuine hardship that tested their character and resilience

How It Works

Major adversity reveals true character and builds resilience - people who've never faced real hardship may crack under pressure in spectacular ways

Failure Modes

Assuming success means someone is post-fall

Underestimating pre-fall people who haven't faced adversity yet

Overvaluing suffering without growth

Example Decision

Choose the co-founder who built a failed startup and lost everything over the one with only academic and professional success