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My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Back to Mental Models

If the opposite of your strategy is stupid, it's not a strategy

A strategic thinking tool that tests whether a proposed strategy is actually differentiated by asking whether any reasonable competitor would choose the opposite approach

Decision Rule

Before committing to a strategy, articulate the opposite approach. If no rational competitor would choose that opposite, your strategy is not actually strategic - it's just table stakes

How It Works

Forces you to identify what trade-offs you're making and what you're giving up to gain something else. Real strategies involve conscious trade-offs that other companies wouldn't make

Failure Modes

Mistaking operational excellence for strategy

Choosing 'strategies' that are just basic business requirements

Not identifying the actual trade-offs being made

Example Decision

Company claims strategy is 'best customer service.' Test: would competitors say 'our strategy is worst customer service'? No, so this isn't strategic. Better: 'We provide instant response but charge premium prices' - competitors might choose 'slower response, lower prices'