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Zero-to-One AI Disruption Framework

Reusability

A framework describing how AI has fundamentally changed the startup success pattern from 'impossible-unlikely-inevitable' to 'very likely at zero-to-one but disrupted beyond $100M'

How It Works

AI enables individuals or small teams to build incredible tools quickly (0-1M in weeks), but also disrupts established software companies that previously had durable competitive moats

Components

1

0-1M: Very likely with AI - build incredible tools no one else can do

2

1-10M: Still challenging but AI-accelerated

3

10-100M: Previously inevitable, now uncertain

4

100M+: Previously durable, now getting disrupted

When to Use

When evaluating market opportunities, timing market entry, or assessing competitive threats in the AI era

When Not to Use

For non-software businesses or markets where AI adoption is minimal

Anti-Patterns to Avoid

Assuming past durability indicators still applyUnderestimating how quickly AI can enable competitorsRelying on interface complexity as a moat

Example

A solo founder uses AI tools to build a customer support solution that matches enterprise software in weeks, while established $200M software companies see growth stall for the first time