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My First Million

My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

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The 10-Year Trend Betting Framework

Reusability

A strategic approach to business building that focuses exclusively on trends and opportunities that will play out over 10+ years rather than immediate market gaps.

How It Works

Identify fundamental shifts happening in technology, demographics, or regulation that will create massive opportunities over a decade. Bet on these early when competition is minimal and build for the long-term market.

Components

1

Study macro trends in technology, demographics, regulation

2

Identify what will be different in 10 years

3

Find industries that haven't adapted to these trends yet

4

Build solutions for the future market, not today's market

5

Accept early losses for long-term positioning

When to Use

When building venture-scale businesses, when you have patient capital, when looking for category-defining opportunities.

When Not to Use

When you need immediate revenue, when building lifestyle businesses, when market timing is critical.

Anti-Patterns to Avoid

Chasing current hot trendsBuilding for today's market constraintsExpecting immediate validation or revenue

Example

In 2007, betting on unstructured data (MongoDB) when everyone used SQL, or betting on psychedelics research before FDA approval, anticipating 10-year legalization timeline.