My First Million
The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.
Back to Beliefs
Accidents and random events drive more major life changes than conspiracy or planning
Evidence
Many huge historical events were accidents rather than coordinated efforts, COVID potentially being a lab accident rather than intentional release
Implication
Be prepared for random major disruptions rather than assuming everything is planned; maintain flexibility and adaptability
Counter Belief
Major events are usually the result of systemic forces and human planning, accidents are rare at scale
Example Application
Business planning that accounts for random disruptions and 'black swan' events rather than assuming linear progression